Greetings, traders! Welcome back to our daily Market Analysis. Today, we have gathered the top news and interesting fundamental analysis for your consideration. Let’s dive in and stay informed!
Key News:
UK – GDP (MoM) (May)
USA – Initial Jobless Claims
USA – PPI (MoM) (Jun)
Despite relinquishing some of its gains, the Dow Jones Industrial Average concluded Wednesday’s trading session on a higher note. This positive finish was primarily attributed to a decline in Treasury yields and a surge in the tech sector, fueled by data indicating the slowest inflation increase in more than two years. The market sentiment has been uplifted by optimism that the forthcoming rate hike, scheduled for later this month, could potentially mark the conclusion of the tightening cycle.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a 0.25% climb, translating to a gain of 86 points. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq witnessed a robust increase of 1.2%, and the S&P 500 displayed a notable rise of 0.74%.
DJI Indices daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
NASDAQ Indices daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
S&P500 Indices daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
In June, the consumer price index (CPI) registered a modest uptick, rising by 0.2% following a 0.1% increase in May. Additionally, the annual inflation rate eased from 4% to 3%, reaching its lowest point since March 2021. These figures suggest a reduced level of price pressures in the economy.
While there remains an expectation that the Federal Reserve will proceed with a rate hike later this month, the outlook for additional rate increases beyond July becomes less certain. The uncertainty stems from the possibility of upcoming economic data revealing a continued deceleration in inflation.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Jefferies, in a recent note, highlighted the importance of upcoming economic indicators in determining the trajectory of rate hikes. If indicators such as the Employment Cost Index on July 28, along with employment and inflation data released in August, continue to exhibit a slowdown similar to the recent Consumer Price Index data, it suggests that the rate hike scheduled for July could potentially mark the conclusion of the current cycle.
In line with this sentiment, major technology companies, including Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META), experienced a rebound following a recent downturn. This recovery was fueled by a significant decline in Treasury yields, driven by the expectation that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes are nearing their conclusion.
GOOGL stock daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
MSFT stock daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
META stock daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
Microsoft’s shares surged by over 1% as the tech behemoth made significant strides in the completion of its $69 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard Inc (NASDAQ: ATVI), the renowned game developer responsible for the popular Call of Duty franchise. The acquisition received a boost as a Federal judge dismissed the Federal Trade Commission’s request to delay the deal, citing insufficient evidence to support claims of potential competition harm. This favorable development played a crucial role in driving Microsoft’s strong performance in the market.
US Dollar Currency Index daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
The sell-off of the US dollar gained momentum after the release of the CPI data, leading to a rapid approach towards the 100 level on the dollar index. This consistent and significant movement has positive implications for global inflation dynamics. A weaker US dollar tends to drive down energy and raw material prices, which are often denominated in US dollars. Consequently, lower prices for these commodities can help alleviate inflationary pressures on a global scale. In contrast, a strengthening US dollar contributes to inflationary pressures worldwide. Therefore, the depreciation of the US dollar can provide relief in the face of such pressures.
EUR/USD Forex daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
In the currency markets, notable movements were observed. The EUR/USD pair experienced a surge, reaching the 1.1150 level, indicating a strengthening of the Euro against the US dollar. Similarly, the GBP/USD pair surpassed the significant 1.30 level, signaling a rise in the British pound against the US dollar. Conversely, the USD/JPY pair extended its decline, falling below the psychological level of 140, implying a weakening of the US dollar against the Japanese yen. These fluctuations highlight the dynamic nature of the currency markets and the interplay between different currency pairs.
USD/JPY Forex daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
The anticipated release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) figures for June today is expected to provide further insight into the global economy’s disinflationary trend. Forecasts suggest a significant deceleration in the headline PPI, dropping from 1.1% in May to 0.4% in June. The core PPI is also projected to experience a more modest slowdown, declining from 2.8% to 2.6%.
The weakening figures from the PPI may have implications for future Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, indicating a continued disinflationary environment. This reinforces the notion that the forthcoming rate hike in the United States will likely be the final one in the current cycle.
In summary, the June PPI numbers are expected to confirm the prevailing disinflationary trend in the global economy. The projected slowdown in PPI figures suggests potential effects on future CPI data and supports the belief that the upcoming rate hike will be the last one.
The information and publications are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by FOREXN1.
Need HELP? Chat with our support or leave a message in the “contact us” section.
DISCLAIMER:
All material from forexn1.com is for educational purposes only. Trading foreign exchange carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors/traders. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Forexn1.com takes no responsibility for loss incurred as a result of our trading analysis\ideas\ insights. By signing up as a member you acknowledge that we are not providing financial advice and that you are making a decision to follow\copy our trading course\analysis\ideas\insights on your own account. We have no knowledge of the level of money you are trading with or the level of risk you are taking with each trade. You must make your own financial decisions, we take no responsibility for money made or lost as a result of our analysis\ ideas\ insights or advice on forex related products on this website.