EUR/USD Daily chart – Analysis Made By REVOLVER™ and ISOTRIUMPH™ Indicators.
EUR/USD: Bearish Bias Amid Dollar Strength and ECB Rate Cut Expectations
Last Friday, the EUR/USD pair attempted to recover some of its losses from the previous week, following an initial decline in the US Dollar. The greenback weakened after the release of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims, which delivered less-than-encouraging economic signals. However, the dollar quickly regained ground thanks to positive results from the Final Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, and Crude Oil Inventories, all of which helped to boost investor confidence in the US economy.
Despite this brief rebound in EUR/USD, the pair’s upside potential seems limited. Recent inflation data from the eurozone has heightened market expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will implement a rate cut at its upcoming policy meeting on Thursday. This looming policy shift has created a bearish outlook for the euro, as lower interest rates typically reduce the attractiveness of a currency in global markets.
From a technical perspective, our bearish stance on EUR/USD remains unchanged. Over the past two weeks, the pair has struggled to maintain its rally after hitting a major supply area, which has now turned into a formidable resistance zone. Adding further to this bearish sentiment is the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals that retail traders are predominantly bullish on the euro, while institutional players, often referred to as “smart money,” maintain a bearish position. This divergence suggests that the euro’s recent attempts to rally may lack the institutional support needed for sustained upward momentum.
Seasonality also favors a bearish trend for the euro at this time of the year. Historical data shows that the EUR/USD pair tends to weaken during this period, aligning with our current forecast. The combination of technical resistance, COT positioning, and seasonal trends points to further downside risks for the euro.
On the chart, I have highlighted a key demand area where the price could potentially drop. This zone may act as a magnet, pulling the pair lower before triggering a possible retracement. If the price reaches this level, we may see a short-term bounce, but the overall bias remains bearish unless there is a significant shift in fundamentals or technical indicators.
In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair faces several headwinds, including dollar strength, expectations of an ECB rate cut, and bearish technical and seasonal factors. Traders should remain cautious as the pair approaches key demand levels, and any short-term rallies may be limited by broader market forces.
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All services, including indicators and expert advisors, provided by us should be used solely as supplementary educational resources. We recommend utilizing them in simulated trading accounts, such as Demo, for educational purposes. Please note that by reading this, we do not endorse any specific trading decisions or actions.
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Expert Advisors carry a high level of risk and it is possible to lose all your capital.
Any financial figures mentioned on our site, its affiliates, or in our communications are estimates, projections, or historical results and should not be interpreted as precise, actual, or a guarantee of potential earnings – they are provided solely for illustrative purposes.
It is crucial to understand that past performance of any trading course, service, tool, or product does not assure its future performance in any capacity. Consequently, Forexn1.com cannot be held liable, either directly or indirectly, for any financial loss incurred, regardless of its extent. It is not uncommon for the average purchaser of a forex system to experience a lack of income. Our community does not guarantee income or success, and any examples provided in our presentations should not be interpreted as indicative of future success or earnings. Once again, past performance of an educational product or any service and tool within this website or related social media platforms does not guarantee future performance. Consequently, Forexn1.com cannot be held liable, either directly or indirectly, for any financial loss incurred, regardless of its magnitude. No representation or guarantee of any kind is made that you will or should achieve profits similar to the results demonstrated in any hypothetical or live trade, or product service and tools inside our website, as the purpose is auxiliary educational aids. You should not solely rely on the information contained on this site or on any of our social media channels. It is advisable to independently verify all information provided.
Past performance shown in any demonstrated trade, service, or tool is not indicative of future results. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Moreover, stated results of any specific trade may be based on simulated or hypothetical performance results with certain inherent limitations. Since these trades have not been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
Simulated trading programs, including expert advisors, are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown in any simulated trade.
All services, including indicators and expert advisors, and any tools we offer should be strictly utilized as auxiliary educational aids. We recommend using them in simulated trading accounts, such as Demo, for educational purposes. By reading this, we do not respond to any of your different choices.
All data provided within the website is intended solely for educational purposes, and any services or tools we offer should be strictly utilized as auxiliary educational aids.
In accordance with applicable law, FOREXN1 Website, its affiliates, officers, directors, managers, employees, or agents shall not be liable for any damages, including but not limited to direct, indirect, incidental, special, consequential, or punitive damages. This includes damages arising from the use of the Website, misuse of educational information presented on the website, any educational service, tool or service, any failure, error, omission, interruption, defect, delay, computer virus, loss of data, loss of use related to the Website or a linked site, or any loss relating to your own personal investment results.
– IMPORTANT RISK NOTICE –
Trading in foreign currency exchange, cryptocurrency, or commodities involves high volatility and significant risk, and may not be suitable for all individuals. The use of margin as leverage further amplifies this risk and can work against you. Prior to investing or trading in foreign currency, cryptocurrency, commodities, or any other market, it is essential to carefully assess your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. It is highly probable that you may incur losses, potentially losing some or all of your initial capital. Therefore, only invest funds that you can afford to lose. The value of any trade or investment in the foreign currency exchange market, cryptocurrency, or commodities is subject to extreme volatility, which may result in substantial percentage losses or the complete loss of your invested capital.
The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
All services, including indicators and expert advisors, provided by us should be used solely as supplementary educational resources. We recommend utilizing them in simulated trading accounts, such as Demo, for educational purposes. Please note that by reading this, we do not endorse any specific trading decisions or actions.
Read our full term and conditions here: https://forexn1.com/terms-conditions/